卡瓦(Cava)的独立分析师表示,股价飙升123%后,客流量疲软。
Cava's Lone Bear Analyst Flags Weak Foot Traffic After Stock's 123% Surge

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/cavas-lone-bear-flags-weak-foot-traffic-after-stocks-123-surge

北海岸研究分析师吉姆·桑德森是华尔街唯一一位对Cava Group持看跌态度的分析师,他警告说,鉴于当前的宏观经济状况,该股123%的涨幅是不可持续的。他认为Cava目前严重高估,其估值高于Chipotle和更广泛的标普500指数。 桑德森的担忧源于观察到Cava已建立门店的客流量下降,表现逊于竞争对手。这表明未来可能需要折扣或促销来维持增长。尽管大多数分析师仍然看好,拥有17个“买入”评级,但桑德森警告说,如果缺乏消费者的新兴趣,Cava的快速增长故事可能会停滞。他的分析与高盛最近的一份报告相符,该报告强调消费者偏好转向注重性价比的快餐选择。

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原文

Northcoast Research analyst Jim Sanderson has emerged as Cava Group's lone bear on Wall Street, warning in an interview with Bloomberg that the stock's 123% rally has gone too far.

"The risk profile, given what I see macroeconomically, is unnerving," Sanderson said in the interview. He noted that the recent surge in the stock has made it very expensive to own.

He continued, "The red flag for me was seeing that traffic at some of the mature locations seemed to be very underwhelming, and in many instances, trending negative for several months relative to the peer group."

Cava is the Mediterranean version of Chipotle and builds customers' meals around greens, rice, or pita, then adds proteins, spreads, toppings, and sauces. As with any fast-casual restaurant chain, there is typically a period of consumer hype. And as we all know, on a long enough timeline, nothing lasts forever.

Cava stock is trading at a hefty premium to both the broader market and industry peers. It trades at 159 times forward earnings, compared with Chipotle at about 28 times and the S&P 500 Index at nearly 21 times.

Bloomberg data show Sanderson is the only bear, as Wall Street analysts are largely bullish. There are 17 "Buys" on the stock, along with 13 "Holds." The average 12-month price target is $88.95.

Sanderson's interview follows a note earlier this week from Goldman analyst Christine Cho, who said fast food's "bang for the buck" promotions are working while casual dining's appeal is sliding.

If Sanderson's data on underwhelming foot traffic at certain mature locations is accurate, it may suggest that management will eventually need to deploy discounts or promotions to re-energize consumer interest in Mediterranean-style bowls, salads, and pitas. Otherwise, Cava's Wall Street growth story could seriously lose momentum.

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