“赖特是错的”:特朗普驳斥能源部长称汽油价格可能要到2027年才降至3美元以下的评论。
'Wright Is Wrong': Trump Rejects Energy Secretary's Comment That Gas Prices May Not Drop Under $3 Until 2027

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/wright-wrong-trump-rejects-energy-secretarys-comment-gas-prices-may-not-drop-under

美国消费者未来几年可能面临持续的高油价。能源部长克里斯·赖特预测,全国平均油价可能到2027年仍将保持在每加仑3美元以上,尽管油价可能已经达到峰值。截至4月19日,平均油价为4.04美元,较伊朗冲突前2.98美元大幅上涨。 赖特预计冲突解决后油价将下降,但能源信息管理局预测今年4月的平均油价为4.30美元,2027年为3.46美元。油价降低需要原油成本大幅下降,但鉴于持续的供应链中断,这种情况不太可能发生。 值得注意的是,前总统特朗普对赖特的评估表示异议,认为油价将在“事情结束时”立即下降,这种观点可能受到即将到来的中期选举的影响。这些相互矛盾的预测凸显了油价未来走向的不确定性。

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原文

Pain at the pump might not ease up for American consumers until 2027, according to Energy Secretary Chris Wright, who said on April 19 that the price of a regular gallon of gas could stay above $3 for the rest of the year.

Wright said a price of $3 per gallon of gas “could happen later this ​year, [but] that might not happen until next year” in an interview that aired on CNN’s ”State of the Union” ​program Sunday.

“But prices have ⁠likely peaked, and they'll start going down certainly with a resolution of this conflict [in Iran],” Wright predicted while speaking about how the war has impacted energy prices.

As of April 19, the average price for a gallon of regular gas in the U.S. was $4.04, according to data from the American Automobile Association (AAA).

States on the West Coast and the Northeast have the highest prices, according to AAA.

Before the United States and Israel launched Operation Epic Fury against the Iranian regime on Feb. 28, the price for a regular gallon of gas in the U.S. was $2.98.

The Energy Information Administration’s short-term energy outlook, published on April 7, predicted the average retail price for a gallon of gasoline would be $4.30 per gallon in April.

The Energy Information Administration - designed as a nonpartisan agency within Wright’s Department of Energy - estimated the retail price for an average gallon of gasoline will be $3.46 in 2027, above the $3 level he predicted on CNN.

As the chart above shows, for pump prices to fall back to $3 a gallon, we would need to see crude oil prices back around $60 a barrel - a long way down given the disruptions from the Iran War are likely to ripple through the supply chain for months.

Finally, The Hill's White House correspondent, Julia Manchester, reports that President Trump just told her over the phone that he disagrees with Energy Secretary Wright's assessment that gas prices may not drop until next year. 

"No, I think he's wrong on that. Totally wrong," Trump said, adding that gas prices will drop "as soon as this ends."

With the Midterms looming ever closer, Trump better hope he's right and Wright is wrong.

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