铀供应短缺加剧,因哈萨克斯坦计划建立战略储备。
Uranium Supply Crunch Worsens Amid Kazakhstan’s Plan For Strategic Reserve

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/uranium-supply-crunch-worsens-amid-kazakhstans-plan-strategic-reserve

哈萨克斯坦是全球领先的铀生产国,正积极应对日益增长的全球供需失衡,通过加速铀勘探和建立战略储备来解决。此举凸显了对未来燃料供应保障的担忧,尤其是在中国、俄罗斯和美国等国的反应堆建设推动需求激增的情况下。 该计划侧重于开发新的矿床和改善现有矿床,旨在确保国内供应安全并加强出口地位。 随着预计到2045年将达到2.11亿磅的铀缺口不断扩大,价格正上涨(目前接近每磅86美元,预计到2026年可能达到91美元)。 严重依赖铀进口的美国面临落后的风险。这种情况可能会促使对国内生产商(如Energy Fuels和Uranium Energy Corp)的支持,将铀安全定位为国家优先事项。 甚至像微软这样的科技巨头也在探索铀投资,以获取零碳能源,这表明整个行业对即将到来的供应挑战有了更广泛的认识。

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原文

Drawing further attention to the global uranium supply-demand mismatch that we've been pounding the table on since 2020, Kazakhstan has outlined plans to accelerate exploration and create a strategic reserve for the nuclear fuel. 

We've repeatedly emphasized that the US is not moving fast enough if it hopes to secure fuel for its reactor fleet…

The strategy, approved by President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev, calls for geological work on at least two new prospective deposits each year. The goal is to uncover high-potential resources while advancing development on already explored sites to refine estimates, extraction methods, and launch preparations.

Kazakhstan, the world’s top uranium producer with roughly one million tonnes of confirmed resources (14 percent of the global total as of early 2025), operates 14 extraction enterprises across multiple regions. 12 are joint ventures with partners from China, Russia, France, Canada, and Japan.

Kazakhstan stands alongside Australia and Canada as the main source of uranium ore imports to the US...

The document emphasizes guaranteeing long-term domestic supply for future nuclear power plants, strengthening export positions, and ensuring reliable sulfuric acid deliveries for in-situ leaching. It also envisions new alternative extraction technologies and full loading of future conversion, enrichment, and fabrication facilities with domestically sourced uranium.

As we highlighted in “Why The Price Of Uranium Is About To Soar,” a widening cumulative net deficit of 211 million pounds between 2025 and 2045, driven by reactor builds in China, Russia, and the United States, is already pushing long-term prices higher. Spot uranium recently traded near $86 per pound, with Goldman Sachs models pointing to roughly $91 by year-end 2026.

We also covered earlier this year on how hyperscalers such as Microsoft are actively exploring uranium-backed projects to secure zero-carbon electricity. With data center capex nearing $1 trillion over the last six years, data center developers have decided now is the time to check for fuel.

More countries are likely to announce strategic uranium reserves as the supply outlook for the industry becomes more bleak by the week...

China is adding reactors at breakneck speed and India is now looking to catch up, but the US is still grossly behind the rest of the world when it comes to construction of large-scale grid-supporting reactor plants…

With the US still nearly completely reliant on the import of raw uranium ore, domestic producers such as Energy Fuels and Uranium Energy Corp stand to be called upon and supported by federal and state governments to reduce what could be framed as a national energy security threat. 

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